Iran Talks Showed New French Assertiveness In Mideast
Influence Is Increasing at a Time When Washington Is Treading Softly
BY STACY MEICHTRY, WSJ
NOVEMBER 12, 2013
PARIS—At the nuclear talks last weekend in
Geneva, France's foreign minister warned publicly that world powers
risked being sucked into a "fool's game" by Iran. That resistance helped
upend a landmark deal that would have offered Iran some relief from
punishing international sanctions in return for suspending elements of
its nuclear program.
France's hard line
in the talks showcased the country's growing influence and
assertiveness in Middle East affairs. Its increasingly interventionist
stance on the world stage—and in the Middle East in particular—is a
stark departure from the country's stalwart opposition to the Iraq war a
decade ago.
With Washington playing the role of peace
broker in the closely held nuclear discussions, Foreign Minister
Laurent Fabius's
warning positioned France as a pivotal arbiter on whether the
five permanent members of the U.N. Security Council plus Germany grant
Iran sanctions relief.
"The role of France is to be the bad cop," said
Alexandre Vautravers,
a military analyst at the Geneva Centre for Security Policy.
France
wanted Iran to hand over its stockpile of uranium enriched to 20%,
approaching the level where it could be used to fuel a nuclear bomb.
Paris also sought to stop Iranian plans to build a heavy-water reactor near the city of Arak.
Iran
insists the reactor, and its entire nuclear program, is for peaceful
purposes, though the West suspects the program is geared toward building
a bomb.
Mr. Fabius warned Monday that
the Arak reactor, if completed, could generate greater amounts of fuel
necessary for producing a bomb than conventional reactors.
France's
stance won kudos from some of the more hawkish members of Congress, who
are pushing to toughen sanctions against Iran further.
"Vive la France!" Sen. John McCain
(R., Ariz.) tweeted after Mr. Fabius raised the alarm on the agreement with Iran.
France's
burgeoning role has positioned it to act as a diplomatic megaphone for
traditional U.S. allies—such as Israel and Saudi Arabia—who have grown
frustrated with Washington's overtures to Iran and reversal on plans to
strike Syria.
France is "trying to get
close to other Gulf nations after the Americans made it clear they're
not as interested in the Mideast as before," said
Sara Bazzobandi,
a Middle East analyst with London-based Chatham House.
French
diplomats have brushed aside Iranian accusations that Paris scuttled a
potential deal. "The whole world wants a deal, including us," a senior
French diplomat said on Tuesday.
France
has backed up its assertive diplomacy with a stronger war footing. The
country has intervened in former African colonies such as Mali and the
Ivory Coast in the past four years.
But
France has also showed a willingness to tread outside its traditional
sphere of influence. With the U.K., it led an air campaign to oust
Libya's Moammar Gadhafi while the U.S. opted to play a supporting role.
Such
meddling seemed unthinkable in 2003 when France led international
efforts to dissuade the U.S. from invading Iraq, arguing that there was
no justification for launching a war against
Saddam Hussein's
regime.
In the years that followed, France found common cause with the U.S. in efforts to get Iran to suspend its nuclear activities.
Between
2003 and 2005, Iran negotiated a deal to suspend its nuclear program
and allow U.N. inspectors to closely monitor its facilities. The
agreement was brokered by Tehran's lead negotiator at the time and
future president, Hasan Rouhani.
The election of then-President Mahmoud Ahamedinejad
in 2005, however, foiled the arrangement and left Western
diplomats feeling whiplashed as successive talks took a radically
different tone.
Jacques Chirac,
who was French president at the time, pushed a successful
international campaign to adopt economic sanctions against Iran. When a
set of U.N. sanctions were adopted in December 2006, Iran made no secret
of its enmity for France.
"France deserves better leaders than its current ones," Mr. Ahmadinejad said on the sidelines of the U.N. General Assembly.
President Barack Obama's election in 2008, however, changed the diplomatic chessboard.
In
Mr. Obama, Paris was suddenly confronted with a war-wary American
leader who shared its criticisms of the Iraq intervention. And Mr. Obama
showed a willingness to make overtures to Iran.
That left France and its then-president
Nicolas Sarkozy
defending a tougher line.
"We
were caught wrong-footed because Paris sounded menacing when Washington
appeared ready to compromise" said a French diplomat, who advised Mr.
Sarkozy at the time.
Comments